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Definition

The expected price move implied by options pricing around earnings.

Earnings Move

The expected price move implied by options pricing around earnings.

Deep Dive: Earnings Move

The expected price move implied by options pricing around earnings.

Why It Matters

Understanding Earnings Move is fundamental to navigating the derivatives market. It serves as a building block for pricing models, risk management, and trade execution. Without a grasp of this concept, traders are effectively flying blind.

Key Characteristics

  1. Standardization: In regulated markets, Earnings Move is clearly defined to ensure liquidity and fairness.
  2. Impact on Pricing: Direct influence on the premium of option contracts.
  3. Dynamic Nature: Market conditions can cause rapid shifts in Earnings Move, creating both opportunity and risk.

Real-World Context

For retail and institutional traders alike, monitoring Earnings Move is part of the daily routine.

  • For Buyers: It aids in determining "fair value."
  • For Sellers: It helps assess the "edge" or premium captured.

Example

Consider a highly liquid ETF like SPY. Reviewing the Earnings Move provides immediate insight into market sentiment. If Earnings Move is high, it suggests one market regime; if low, another. Traders adjust their strategies accordingly—shifting from directional bets to volatility plays, or vice versa.

This entry is part of the VolParadox Options Glossary, a living database of trading terminology.